If McCain doesn’t win Pennsylvania’s 21 electoral votes, he would have to run the table and win all eight of the competitive states that were held by President Bush in 2004, including Virginia, Florida, Ohio, Colorado, Missouri, Indiana, North Carolina, and Nevada.
That’s very, very tough for McCain to do.
The only way he has more paths to 270 electoral votes is if he can flip Pennsylvania and turn it around — that would give him more leeway.
If you take all four of these states that will be decided relatively early on Election Night next Tuesday — Pennsylvania, Virginia, Ohio, and Florida — McCain has to win three out of four of those states to even have a chance of getting to 270 electoral votes.
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