These come from Michael Tomasky at the Daily Beast. Here’s the first:
[E]lectoral demographer Ruy Teixeira reported recently that this bloc [white blue-collar voters] will constitute a sizeable 3 percent less of the electorate this year than it did in 2008—the minority vote will overtake the white working-class by 2016 or certainly 2020.
And here’s the other:
[T]he GOP as of January was at its lowest point in terms of party-identification percentage since 1988, just 27 percent. The Democrats have lost ground, too, but at least they’re still in the low 30s.
Obama isn’t toast yet.
My own take is that the Republican Party nationally is where the Republican Party was in California in the 1980s. It’s still got an election cycle or two that it can win, but sheer demographics will start to overwhelm it before long. Republicans in California have largely been out of power in the California legislature for about two decades and only the most moderate of Republicans–like Arnold S.–can generally win statewide elections.
And it’s a good state to live in. The best.