After 47% Comment, Romney Collapses in Polls

This is at the New York Times today:

Mr. Romney’s comments about the “47 percent” of Americans seemed to be undercutting him with other working-class voters here [in Ohio]. “This last thing, where he was going on about the 47 percent who are dependent on government, is hard to swallow,” said Kenneth Myers, a Republican who lives in Mansfield and is unemployed. “I think I’m part of the 47 percent he is talking about. But I don’t want to be dependent on the government.”

As to the polls themselves,

The latest Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News polls of likely voters in [Pennsylvania, Florida, and Ohio] . . . show that Mr. Obama has widened his lead over Mr. Romney and is outperforming him on nearly every major campaign issue, . . .

And thus,

Mr. Romney’s burden is no longer to win over undecided voters, but also to woo back the voters who seem to be growing a little comfortable with the idea of a second term for Mr. Obama.

I would characterize the actual numbers reported in the New York Times as downright alarming (were I a Republican). Here they are:

The New York Times, in collaboration with Quinnipiac University and CBS News, is tracking the presidential race with recurring polls in six states. In Ohio — which no Republican has won the presidency without — Mr. Obama is leading Mr. Romney 53 percent to 43 percent in the poll. In Florida, the president leads Mr. Romney 53 to 44 percent in the poll.

The surveys, which had margins of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points for each candidate, also included a Pennsylvania poll, where Mr. Obama is leading Mr. Romney by 12 percentage points.

Notice that the polls suggest that as little as 4% of the electorate is undecided in these states. I believe Obama recognizes that, if he wins, voters expect him to fulfill his promise, and I think he will. That’s what people will be voting for: an advocate for them who can’t be bought. Obama will be in a position, for four years, to be that. It’s exciting. This is likely to be a wave election.

About Santi Tafarella

I teach writing and literature at Antelope Valley College in California.
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