The True State of the Race

A reality check from Nate Silver today:

According to National Journal, Mr. Romney’s campaign has not spent a single dollar on advertising in Pennsylvania since May 1; outside groups that support Mr. Romney ceased their advertising there in August. […]

Mr. Obama’s campaign ceased its advertising expenditures in Pennsylvania in July, no longer having the need to call Mr. Romney’s bluff — and Mr. Romney’s lackluster effort in Pennsylvania has put him in a very defensive Electoral College posture throughout the campaign.

In other words, if Romney wanted to have wiggle room, electoral college-wise, Pennsylvania needed to stay in play, and it hasn’t. And this means that if Romney wants to be Prez, he pretty much needs to win both Ohio and Florida. Obama can afford to lose one of these states (though probably not both).

Here’s what the map looked like in 2008, and nothing appears to have changed. Romney faces the same hurdle of blue-trending states that McCain did.

About Santi Tafarella

I teach writing and literature at Antelope Valley College in California.
This entry was posted in Uncategorized and tagged , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )


Connecting to %s