Here’s part of Robert Shrum’s take on the presidential election going into the final week:
Romney can run, but he can’t hide—from the Bain ads that are on the air again in the Midwest, from the relentless Obama focus on the choice between a candidate who stands for the middle class and a candidate who favors the 1 percent. Now he faces the prospect of explaining his 1991 testimony in a post-divorce lawsuit against the founder of Staples—which has been unsealed by a court in Boston. […]
Stuff just keeps happening to Mitt Romney. He has to flee the press to avoid answering questions about the only Senate candidate he’s made an ad for—Indiana’s Richard Mourdock, who suddenly dominated the national news with his repugnant divination that a pregnancy due to rape is “something God intended.” Romney can’t bring himself to pull the endorsement ad; he’s too afraid of his own right-wing shadow. […]
Thus the gender gap widens—and the moderate makeover unravels. Mitt is mired in the mid-20s with Hispanics, who heard him say “illegals” should “self-deport.” […] Blue-collar workers in the Midwest can’t forgive Romney’s opposition to saving the auto industry—and they don’t trust the man from Bain. Even his lead among seniors is being eroded by his plan to replace Medicare with Vouchercare [….]
Mired in the mid-20s with Hispanics. In my view, that’s the key observation of Shrum’s here. George Bush was getting about 40% of the Hispanic vote, for Pete’s sake! Even giving Romney optimistic numbers, if the Hispanic voting gap in favor of President Obama is, say, 70-30, that’s still a 40% gap in a key demographic group.
That can’t be good for the Mittens.