Clinton vs. Trump: It’s Late In The Game, Yet Still Close. How Can This Be?

Hmm. I simply don’t understand how this election is still so close. Why aren’t women 70/30 for Hillary in polls? (Hillary is actually losing in polls among married women, for instance.)

And why aren’t Hispanics, Asians, and African Americans more obviously galvanized and motivated to vote against Trump in record numbers? How is it that “likely voters” are keeping the polls so close? Shouldn’t Hispanics, Asians, and African Americans be among the most likely of “likely voters” in this election cycle? If polls among “likely voters” are close, it probably means that there’s no unusual enthusiasm to vote being registered among, say, Hispanics.

But how could this be? Hillary’s got all the money in the world right now to get her voters registered and to the polls in November–so what does this mean that she’s in a dead heat among likely voters in places like Nevada?

I can see Trump getting 55% of the white vote–but 60% or 65%? Again, how can that be?

I quite obviously don’t understand the majority of my fellow Americans at all (what motivates them; how they think, etc.). How, for instance, does anyone with a college degree, after learning Trump rejects the science on global warming, vote for him anyway?

Shouldn’t that be a veto right there?

If a seventy year old man was in a job interview with you, and he couldn’t follow the science on global warming coherently, and confessed to distrusting scientific consensus, would you give him a position of serious responsibility–or nuclear codes?

But nothing seems to veto Trump with the electorate. He has yet to sufficiently alarm a clear majority of voters. He’s still competitive as we speak. There’s even a possibility that Hillary could collapse in the polls here in the stretch (much like she did against Bernie in certain states). Despite his disorganization, Trump could literally run away with this–exactly as he did in the Republican primary.

I’m feeling helpless and hopeless. I feel like I want to drive out to Nevada and hand out voter registration cards at Walmart–but why am I begging people to vote? If Hillary’s voters haven’t registered already, what is wrong with them? What is wrong with me? What is wrong with Hillary?

To echo Trump in another context, What the hell is going on?

About Santi Tafarella

I teach writing and literature at Antelope Valley College in California.
This entry was posted in donald trump, hillary clinton, Politics, Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

6 Responses to Clinton vs. Trump: It’s Late In The Game, Yet Still Close. How Can This Be?

  1. “I simply don’t understand how this election is still so close.”

    Because people have different opinions, see things from different perspectives, and care about different topics.

    The truth is that there are intelligent, thoughtful, reasonable people who are voting for Hillary. And believe it or not, there are intelligent, thoughtful, reasonable people who are voting for Trump.

    • Santi Tafarella says:

      Heidegger joined the Nazi Party in 1933, but that doesn’t mean I understand it. Help me go deeper here. What do you suppose is going on in the head of someone who is intelligent and reasonable–yet voting for Trump? That intelligent and conventionally reasonable person sees that Trump is himself incapable of sustained attention and rational thought; she sees that Trump is temperamentally mercurial and authoritarian, and would be a dicey bet with nuclear codes–and yet will vote for him anyway. What’s causing this behavior–in your view?

      • “What’s causing this behavior–in your view?”

        A very strong anti-establishment surge.

        There are a lot of people in this country who feel that both the Democrats and Republicans have the same purpose – to make the rich richer. Granted, Trump isn’t exactly the ideal vehicle, but he’s the vehicle that’s available.

        This people would contend that, short term, the harm that one president can do is limited. Long term, starting a populist movement could be a very good thing for the average American.

        Like I said … different perspectives.

        I have to say that, since you’re a professor of literature, I’d have thought you’d have a better grasp on getting inside the minds of all the characters, not just the protagonist, than most voters do.

      • Santi Tafarella says:

        But I don’t think you’re telling me why a reasonable person votes for Trump. A reasonable person. I understand the broad wave of sentiment that makes this a potential anti-establishment election, but what I’m trying to understand is how a person can focus-in on Trump and not then find a single thing he has said or done that is thus far disqualifying.

        By analogy, if you’re on a date, and you really want sex, but the person you are out with says they only have anal sex and without a condom–and they have no interest in foreplay–what then? You may want sex a lot–but not under those conditions.

        Likewise, if you’re in an airplane, and the pilot is incapacitated, what causes you to look about for someone to pilot the plane who has no piloting experience, but enormous confidence that flying a plane is a piece of cake? Isn’t it preferable to give the cockpit to someone a bit more sober–and with at least some experience in flying planes? What’s worthy of risking a crash?

        And so I ask you: If there are a lot of reasonable people who want change, how is it that, in this election cycle, that change doesn’t seem to have any disqualifying conditions? (I want change, and I don’t care if the person promoting change is a racist, or can’t follow a scientific argument, or distrusts scientific consensus, or shows a willingness to use nuclear weapons, etc. I just want change.)

        That’s what I don’t understand.

        It seems like Trump voters–including those who claim to be rational–are showing almost no sense of proportion here. We’re not even in an economic contraction, and a person who hearts Mussolini in tweets is not disqualified already by a majority of voters, but may instead be on the verge of the presidency.

        That’s strange behavior. It’s not that easily explained. I can get in the head of someone who is irrational and voting this way, but not someone who is protesting that they are rational and voting this way.

        You say, for instance, that the harm that one president can do is limited–and that’s what makes a Trump vote rational. There’s the upside of a protest vote against the rich, but little downside. This is, superficially, a rational argument–but only superficially, for you’re not scrutinizing your premise.

        Are you thinking about Trump with nukes? Trump with police powers? Trump with domestic enemies? What makes you think Trump will have any compunction about breaking the law–or ignoring the other branches of government when they claim he’s in violation of law? What if Trump says his lawyers disagree with Congress’s lawyers and the courts–and so he can do what he wants? He’s now one of the branches of government (he could say). He decides what’s okay for him to do with his branch. He won’t defer to others. Do you really want to expose our system of checks and balances to the stress test of Trump? Is that reasonable?

  2. Jim says:

    For some, the explanation is here: http://www.claremont.org/crb/basicpage/the-flight-93-election/
    Trump is a terrible candidate. But the alternative…

  3. BJ says:

    The problem isn’t that people don’t see how bad Trump is, the problem is that to too many voters view Clinton as just as bad or worse. For many, it all comes down to which “vetoes” (to use your concept) are more important.

    This is why most of the civilized world does not limit itself to a two party system. There are much better candidates but they will only end up getting a small fraction of the vote because everyone here fears a third party vote is a wasted vote.

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