Tag Archives: Pennsylvania

If Romney Loses Ohio, He Must Win Pennsylvania

Posted on November 4, 2012 by Santi Tafarella

At FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver explains why Mitt Romney is making a last-minute play for Pennsylvania: absent Ohio, it’s basically his sole remaining (plausible) route to at least 269 electoral votes. In a nutshell, here’s how Romney, according to Silver, gets … Continue reading →

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How You Know Mitt Romney Is Losing

Posted on November 3, 2012 by Santi Tafarella

Just have a look at where he’s scheduled to campaign on Monday, the day before the election. This is at the New York Times: Mr. Romney’s campaign officials said they were confident that he would win Florida. But they were … Continue reading →

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Sour Power: Mourdock-Romney

Posted on October 25, 2012 by Santi Tafarella

The revolt against the hippies.

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After 47% Comment, Romney Collapses in Polls

Posted on September 26, 2012 by Santi Tafarella

This is at the New York Times today: Mr. Romney’s comments about the “47 percent” of Americans seemed to be undercutting him with other working-class voters here [in Ohio]. “This last thing, where he was going on about the 47 … Continue reading →

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Whoa Mule, Whoa!

Posted on October 18, 2009 by Santi Tafarella

I ain’t got time to kiss you now, the mule is run away! According to the video poster at YouTube, this song was played “under the trees next to the Conestoga river. Lancaster County Park PA. August 2 2008.” Nicely … Continue reading →

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Arlen Specter: Yellow Canary in the Republican Coal Mine?

Posted on April 28, 2009 by Santi Tafarella

If Republicans can’t hold their moderates, how will they win elections? Today, in the New York Times, is an article on Republicans’ larger problem: not just losing a moderate like Arlen Specter, but the party’s increased ideological marginalization (such as on issues like gay equality). … Continue reading →

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“Oh Captain, My Captain!”

Posted on November 4, 2008 by Santi Tafarella

The final scene of Dead Poet’s Society, in which a group of students stand up to the authoritarian power structure at their school, and align themselves with a good teacher who has been unjustly maligned, strikes me as an apt metaphor … Continue reading →

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Less Than 24 Hours to Go and the NBC-Wall Street Journal Poll Has Obama Leading McCain 51-43!

Posted on November 2, 2008 by Santi Tafarella

Read more about the good news here.

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Obama’s Key to Electoral Success: 5 States in ONE of These 7 Combinations

Posted on November 2, 2008 by Santi Tafarella

According to FiveThirtyEight.com, if the election is not a blowout, these are the FIVE states to watch on election night: Pennsylvania, Ohio, Colorado, Virginia, and Nevada: The victory conditions for Obama involving these five states proceed something as follows: 1. Win Pennsylvania … Continue reading →

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THE NEEDLE JOHN McCAIN MUST THREAD: Why Is McCain Spending So Much Time in New Hampshire and Pennsylvania?

Posted on November 2, 2008 by Santi Tafarella

John McCain isn’t investing heavy in New Hampshire and Pennsylvania because he’s polling close in those states—but because they’re his only reasonable route to 270 electoral votes. Chuck Todd explains:

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Landslide Taking Shape?: With Barely 24 Hours to Go Before Tuesday Morning Arrives, an ABC-Washington Post Poll Has Obama Over McCain 54-43!

Posted on November 2, 2008 by Santi Tafarella

According to the ABC News-Washington Post survey (just released), the race isn’t even tightening: Overall, 54 percent of likely voters support Obama, 43 percent McCain in ABC/Post interviews the past four nights, exactly where the race was a week and … Continue reading →

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Proud to Be an American: When My Kids Grow Up (They are 2 and 5) I Want to be Able to Tell Them, “Your Daddy Voted for Barack Obama”

Posted on November 2, 2008 by Santi Tafarella

Are you with me?

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What It Will Feel Like to Be a Democrat Tuesday Night

Posted on November 2, 2008 by Santi Tafarella
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“A landslide brought me down”: A Bit of Therapy for Downcast Republicans

Posted on November 2, 2008 by Santi Tafarella
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Landslide?: That Rumble You Hear May Be the Sound of “Republican Mountain” Starting to Give Way to Barack Obama

Posted on November 2, 2008 by Santi Tafarella

It’s fast approaching 6pm on the East Coast, which means that we only have about 30 HOURS to go before the clock strikes midnight and TUESDAY MORNING is officially here. Can John McCain make up a 9 point polling deficit … Continue reading →

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Pennsylvania is Obama Country

Posted on November 2, 2008 by Santi Tafarella

In the waning hours of this election cycle, FiveThirtyEight.com has just put up its take on Pennsylvania: What McCain Has Going For Him John McCain decided at the last minute to try and throw resources at the state in hopes … Continue reading →

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Calm Down: Why Obama Will Win Pennsylvania Handily on Tuesday

Posted on November 2, 2008 by Santi Tafarella

Obama will win Pennsylvania by a comfortable margin—despite a tightening in the polls there. Here’s are the reasons: Democrats far outnumber Republicans in the state (in terms of registration) Obama has a strong “get out the vote” organization on the … Continue reading →

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Super Great Polling News: With Barely 32 Hours to Go Before It Becomes Tuesday Morning on the East Coast, Gallup Shows Obama with at Least a 9 POINT Lead, and Perhaps an 11 Point Lead (Depending on Voter Turnout)

Posted on November 2, 2008 by Santi Tafarella

All three Gallup poll measures show Obama with a 9 point (or greater) lead—and there are barely 30 hours to go before the clock strikes midnight and turns into Tuesday morning on the East Coast. See the Gallup report figures … Continue reading →

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George Mush and Darth Cheney

Posted on November 2, 2008 by Santi Tafarella
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“The largest lead among likely voters to date”: Gallup Polling Today, with Just 48 Hours to Go, Shows Obama AHEAD by 10 POINTS!

Posted on November 1, 2008 by Santi Tafarella

Read about it at Gallup here. Hurricane Barack may be reaching maximal strength just as the election arrives. Can we change the course of this country away from Bushism and anti-intellectual religious authoritarian Palinism? Yes we can!

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