Reality Check: Public Polling Data Released Today Still Has Obama in the Lead in Two Key States—Florida and North Carolina

Source: FiveThirtyEight.com for Oct. 18, 2008

Notice that the national polls have Obama in a 4-7 point national lead, and in two key states that McCain must win (Florida and North Carolina), he’s down by 2-4%.

Also notice that two states McCain has been trying to play offense in (Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) look increasingly out of reach.

Know hope.

But let’s not get complacent, either.